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外汇交易 外汇基本面

外汇交易常用的分析方法

如何开启金融市场交易之旅

风险提示: 当交易诸如外汇/差价合约等杠杆产品时,涉及到高风险。与该供货商交易差价合约时, 有 58.42% 的零售投资账户出现了资金亏损。 您不应该冒险承担超出您能承受的损失的范围,您的损失可能会超出您的全部投资金额。除非您充分了解您面临损失风险的真实程度,否则不应进行交易或投资。当交易或投资时,您必须始终考虑到个人的经验水平。由于这类产品的性质,复制交易服务意味着您的投资会承受额外的风险。如果您不清楚所涉风险,请向外部专家寻求个人意见。RoboForex Ltd 及其分公司未面向欧盟/欧洲经济区/英国招募新客户。RoboForex Ltd 及其联盟网站将不在下列受限国家/地区运营:美国、加拿大、日本、澳大利亚、博内尔岛、库拉索岛、东帝汶、伊朗、利比里亚、塞班岛、俄罗斯、圣尤斯特歇斯岛、塔希提岛、土耳其、几内亚比绍、密克罗尼西亚、北马里亚纳群岛、斯瓦尔巴和扬马延群岛以及南苏丹。

RoboForex 理解交易者需专注于交易活动,而不应该时常忧心资金是否处于恰当的保护中。因此,为确保履行对客户的责任,本公司采取了新的措施。我们已推出了限额为 5,000,000 欧元的民事责任保险计划,涵盖了市场领先的承保范围,避免不作为、诈骗、过错、失误等可能导致经济损失的风险。

外汇交易图表分析法

绘制点数图关键是确定两个参数:(1)每一空格的 “ 格值 ” ,即每一个 × 、 Ο 符号所代表的价位幅度;(2)确定转势的价位幅度,即 “ 转列格值 ” ,表明价格朝着与原来方向相反的趋势上升或下跌超过多少幅度时才表明价格转势。例如一幅 5×20 的点数图,它所反映的是每一空格代表 5 格点,当价格朝着相反方向波动超过 20 个点时表明市场转势,即由升势 × 转为跌势 Ο ,或由跌势转为升势 ×. 一般地格值大小并无一定标准,可以因人因市、因货币的不同而有所不同,但不可以随意设定。格值太大,则点数图不容易反映出价格的变动,因为很小的价格波动并不能在图中显示出来;格值太小,则图形会过于复杂,失去图形的意义。同样,转列格值的确定也没有一定规则,但太多或太少都会造成价格过于敏感。最常用的是三格转列,即价格的涨跌超过三个格值转列。

点数图的两个参数可以有多种组合,如 5 × 15 、 10 × 20 , 10 × 30 , 20 × 60 , 100 × 300 等等。点数图中的这两项参数数值的不同组合,会影响点数图所显示的市场价格走势的精细程度。每一空格所代表的点数越多,即格值越大,其反映市场的精细程度越低;相反,每一空格所代表的点数越少,即格值越小,则其反映的精细程度越高。一般而言,分析中短期的市场走势,可选择 20 × 60 , 100 × 300 等灵敏度较低的组合来分析市场大势。

外汇交易者在运用点数图判断市场走势时可以尝试多种不同的组合来观察,看看哪一种组合所反映的买卖信号最为明确。使用现时的一些专业图表终端如 Moneyline 的 Telegrate 和路透社的交易系统,只要将两个参数输入电脑,便可以得到所需的点数图,省去了手绘的麻烦。

在直线中,横坐标为时间单位,纵坐标是价格变动幅度单位。直线图的绘制首先找出一定时间内(如一日)的最高价和最低价,联结最低价成一直线,即表示当天最高价与最低价的涨跌幅度。然后再将当天的收盘价和开盘价绘制在该直线上,就形成一个“直线”单元。随着时间的推移,每天的交易情况均可画出一条直线,日复一日就构成了一个高高低低、波浪起伏的日直线图形。除了日直线图形可以外,还可以有周、月、年直线图。日直线图的绘制,每周 5 条,若遇到假日,当日的直线图即略去不画。以周、月为绘制单位其画法与日线图相同。

K 线图的绘制方法,以 K 线图为例来说明,首先是找到某一营业日的市场最高价和最低价,垂直地连成一条直线,然后再找出当日的开市价和收市价,把这两个价位连接成一个长方体,并压在垂直线上,加入当日的收市价为高(即低开高收),便将长方体留空,这种柱体就称为“阳线”;假如当日的收市价较开市为低(即高开低收),便将长方体涂黑,这种柱体称为“阴线”。

Basic Forex Trading Strategies and Indicators

The Forex market’s diversity and magnitude allow traders the opportunity to create strategies based on movements in the market. When trading Forex, there are a number of trading strategies and indicators to choose from. Each strategy can be customized or tailored to the individual needs of a trader and used in conjunction with other strategies.

When considering which trading strategy is best for you, you need to take into account your personal goals, risk appetite, experience and trading preferences. Before exploring the different trading strategies, we will first outline two key trading methodologies: fundamental and technical analysis.

Fundamental Analysis vs. Technical Analysis

Traders generally 外汇交易常用的分析方法 sit in one of two categories: fundamental or technical.

  • Geopolitics: changes in political policies, tensions between countries, and new treaties or differences can affect the market. Hence, being aware of the geopolitical status can aid traders in their fundamental approach.
  • Central Banks: central banks like the Federal Reserve can affect monetary policy through decisions like interest rates, which can affect currency pairs’ value.
  • Economic Releases: to take a basic example, if an economic report came out that was particularly strong, then it might indicate a currency could appreciate relative to another currency. However, if all traders expected the economic report to be strong (prior to the report being released), the impact of the report would already be 外汇交易常用的分析方法 ‘priced in’ to the market.

2. Technical analysis utilizes chart indicators and past price directions and movement patterns in order to determine whether a currency pair, such as the Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD), is overbought or oversold. By relying on statistical trends or patterns, 外汇交易常用的分析方法 like volume and price movement (appreciation/depreciation), traders seek to predict which way a currency pair may swing.

There are many types of charts available for Technical Analysis, Plus500 offers Line 外汇交易常用的分析方法 charts, Bar charts, and Candlestick charts on its trading platform.

Of course, there is no one correct chart to use. Thus, traders can utilize a blend of technical and fundamental analysis to evaluate potential investment opportunities.

Newspaper with the headline “Trade Forex” and a mobile phone with a forex graph.

Approaches and Indicators to Use When Trading Forex:

In addition to the above trading methodologies, below is an outline of a number of approaches and indicators that can be used when trading Forex.

Position Trading - Position trading is a strategy where traders hold positions for 外汇交易常用的分析方法 longer periods of time, usually weeks or months. Position traders will generally utilize fundamental analysis and economic data. However, when opening a new position, position traders might make use of technical analysis. Furthermore, a position trader may wait until a currency pair reaches a (predetermined) support level before taking a long position and holding it for a few weeks. This 外汇交易常用的分析方法 type of trading is presumably less immediate, as traders are not necessarily concerned with intraday prices and generally open fewer positions (when compared to other trading strategies). Nevertheless, as is the case with any kind of trading, traders need to have a firm grasp of market fundamentals and position trading largely relies on fundamental analysis.

Position trading can leverage market trends, recurrent styles, and past movements in order to predict and make trading moves. Hence, position traders are often referred to as 'trend followers'.

Indicators in the WebTrader, with a USD/JPY graph in the background.

These are just a few of many different forex trading strategies and indicators that traders adopt to help enhance their 外汇交易常用的分析方法 trading success, there are numerous combinations of FX trading strategies and no limit to the number of technical indicators that you can use.

If you want to learn more advanced trading strategies, then consider our CFD trading platform, featuring more than 90 technical indicators, advanced drawing tools and in-depth analytical tools which will help you learn the nuances of Forex CFD trading. You can also practice your skills in our risk-free, unlimited demo account.

To try our indicators, simply sign up/log in, select an instrument, go to its chart and click on the (Fx) icon.

*This article contains general information which doesn't take into account your personal circumstances.

外汇交易常用的分析方法

  • May
  • 2019-09-10 06:02:58

外汇技术分析方法 之K线的秘密

当然,对于新手来说这种外汇技术分析方法不容易掌握。现在市面上可以统计出来的K线图形大概有100多种,全部熟练掌握是不现实的,我们只需要掌握其中最常用、经过验证最有效的几种就可以了,比如说十字星线、吞没K线、锤形K线等等。

外汇技术分析方法 之技术指标

根据百度搜索指数的数据,MACD、KDJ、布林带、斐波纳奇回调线、MA均线、RSI、CCI等是最受国内交易者欢迎的几种指标。其中,MACD、RSI、均线和布林带指标是比较经典的外汇技术分析方法。之前《交易智慧》栏目曾独家测评过各类指标,感兴趣的可以点此查看。

外汇技术分析方法 之百变形态

图形形态也是外汇技术分析方法中比较常见的一种。一般来说,经典的形态可以归纳为两大类,反转型和整理型。反转形态包含头肩型、双重顶底、三重顶底、V形顶底、圆形、三角形、菱形、矩形等。头肩型和双重顶底最为常见。整理形态主要有对称三角形、上升下降三角形、旗形、楔形等。

在运用这种外汇技术分析方法的时候要特别注意的是,形态分析的主观性会比K线和技术指标强很多,因为在不同的时间框架下,形态也会随之变化,每个人画的图形也会有一定的偏差,这也意味着它的准确率会低很多,因此运用的时候需要小心谨慎。